Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $230,480$ on 2020-10-19
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10,443$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9,820.4}{1 + 10^{-0.048 (t - 39.2)}}\) (asimptote \(9,820.4\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $198,823$ on 2020-10-19
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $974,449$ on 2020-10-19
Start date 2020-03-06 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $33,992$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{29,114.7}{1 + 10^{-0.042 (t - 36.1)}}\) (asimptote \(29,114.7\))
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $790,081$ on 2020-10-19
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $744,122$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,279,163.6}{1 + 10^{-0.004 (t - 476.3)}}\) (asimptote \(5,279,163.6\))
Start date 2020-03-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $43,816$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{41,245.0}{1 + 10^{-0.035 (t - 46.0)}}\) (asimptote \(41,245.0\))
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $697,693$ on 2020-10-19
Start date 2020-02-22 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $423,578$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{273,902.5}{1 + 10^{-0.022 (t - 51.8)}}\) (asimptote \(273,902.5\))
Start date 2020-02-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $36,616$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{35,083.3}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 47.2)}}\) (asimptote \(35,083.3\))
Start date 2020-02-23 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $134,003$ on 2020-10-19
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $103,200$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{92,674.0}{1 + 10^{-0.015 (t - 101.3)}}\) (asimptote \(92,674.0\))
Start date 2020-03-12 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $5,918$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,789.1}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 52.2)}}\) (asimptote \(5,789.1\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $97,282$ on 2020-10-19
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $952,600$ on 2020-10-19
Start date 2020-03-06 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $33,647$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{30,375.9}{1 + 10^{-0.044 (t - 40.9)}}\) (asimptote \(30,375.9\))
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $809,342$ on 2020-10-19
Start date 2020-03-06 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $23,788$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{24,452.3}{1 + 10^{-0.011 (t - 161.8)}}\) (asimptote \(24,452.3\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $846$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{845.4}{1 + 10^{-0.012 (t - 125.0)}}\) (asimptote \(845.4\))
Start date 2020-03-06 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $5,550$ on 2020-10-19
Start date 2020-03-02 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $242,217$ on 2020-10-19
Start date 2020-03-08 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $6,828$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{6,226.9}{1 + 10^{-0.040 (t - 40.0)}}\) (asimptote \(6,226.9\))
Start date 2020-03-02 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $230,095$ on 2020-10-19
